A British bookmaker is proving that you can, indeed, bet on everything. In the hours after Roger Federer announced that his wife Mirka had their second set of twins, Ladbrokes started taking action on the Wimbledon future of the family Federer.
1. Any of the Federer children to win a Wimbledon Male or Female singles title (100/1)
Pete Sampras's first child was installed at 150/1 to win Wimbledon. When Andre Agassi and Steffi Graf had their first child in 2001, oddsmakers pegged him at 500/1. So, on one level, you have to like the value you're getting at 100/1 with four Federers. Mirka's no Steffi Graf, but she was an accomplished tennis player. (She and Roger met while competing in the 2000 Olympics.) Warning: There's a small chance we may have overanalyzed this novelty betting.
2. Any combination of the Federer children to win a Wimbledon doubles title (33/1)
This would be the twins playing mens' or womens' doubles or a combination playing mixed. And it's only 33/1? That's insane. Those are the same odds Aga Radwanska is getting to win the French Open! Andy Murray is a bigger underdog to win at Roland Garros! I mean, Murray isn't any good on clay, but at least he's a professional tennis player who is taking part in the event and has already gone through kindergarten.
3. Federer/Federer vs Federer/Federer to be a mixed doubles final at Wimbledon (10,000/1)
Can you imagine two sets of twin playing a mixed-doubles final at Wimbledon? Just think of the Parent Trap possibilities.
ESPN's Chris Fowler says the maximum wager on the 10k-to-1 bet is $17, which is crazy - a crazy investment opportunity, that is. Did you ever wish you could go back to 1976, become friends with Steve Jobs and get points on Apple? This is basically the same thing.
4. The Federers to have a third set of twins (1,000/1)
Mirka does not approve.
After minutes of strenuous math doing, it's been determined that the odds for having back-to-back twins is approximately 1 in 7,000. My head hurts with the mere thought of adding a third set of twins to those odds, but it's safe to say that this, like all the others, is a bad bet.
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